MLB predictions: This week's biggest MLB games

When handicapping results for a game, delving deeper into the statistics can unveil hidden values not immediately apparent from surface numbers.

For instance, let's scrutinize the pitching of the Washington Nationals, now known as the Nats. While they currently rank 20th with an Earned Run Average (ERA) of 4.27, their third-place standing in Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) at 3.46 and Fan Graphs’ pitching Wins Above Replacement (fWAR) of 4.2 reveal more to the story.

These underlying figures suggest that the Nats might be experiencing some misfortune on the mound. Although their starting rotation featuring Trevor Williams, MacKenzie Gore, Jake Irvin, Mitchell Parker, and Patrick Corbin lacks dominance – with Gore being the sole pitcher averaging more than a strikeout per inning – they excel at limiting home runs.

Additionally, setup reliever Hunter Harvey boasts impressive stats, boasting a 1.20 FIP and 0.8 fWAR across 13 appearances.

This analysis hints that betting the Unders might hold appeal for the Nats, especially if these underlying stats persist. Currently holding a 13-14 record, the Nats emerges as significant underdogs (+30783*) to win the World Series.

This week, the Nats concludes a series against Miami on Monday, followed by a visit to Texas from Tuesday to Thursday, before returning home to face the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend.

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Twins Turning the Corner

Following a lackluster start, the Minnesota Twins have hit a stride in their schedule, securing seven consecutive wins – four against the Chicago White Sox and three against the Los Angeles Angels.

With a record of 14-13, the Twins, positioned 4.5-games behind the Cleveland Guardians in the American League Central Division, are now showing promise.

While Minnesota’s pitching remains average, notable performances from Joe Ryan and reliable relievers Griffin Jax and Brock Stewart have bolstered the team. However, offensive support remains crucial.

Catcher Ryan Jeffers leads the offense with a .953 OPS, while the addition of left fielder Trevor Larnach, boasting a 1.096 OPS in nine games after missing the initial weeks of the season, provides additional strength.

The Twins, priced at +3610* to win the World Series, face the White Sox for three games before hosting the Boston Red Sox over the weekend.

Phillies Surging

Despite a slow start, the Philadelphia Phillies have dominated opponents since, amassing a 17-6 record.

Despite Bryce Harper's average start, the Phillies boast a formidable offense, ranking seventh in .330 weight on-base average (wOBA) and ninth in 109 weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+). Alec Bohm, with a 1.056 OPS and 26 RBIs in 29 games, has been instrumental.

The Phillies' strength lies in their deep starting rotation. While Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola lead, Ranger Suarez and Cristopher Sanchez have delivered exceptional performances.

Priced at +1369* to win the World Series, the Phillies have favorable odds. They start the week against the Los Angeles Angels before hosting the San Francisco Giants.

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Angels Collapsing, Again

Conversely, the Los Angeles Angels have faltered since their 4-2 start, managing a 6-16 record since.

Despite Mike Trout's impressive performance, with 10 home runs in 28 games, lack of support has hindered the team. Offensive struggles compound with pitching deficiencies, ranking 27th in ERA and 26th in FIP.

Priced at +20538* to win the World Series, the Angels face an uphill battle. This week, they host the Phillies before visiting the Cleveland Guardians.

An Unexpected White Sox Winning Streak

Despite a rocky start, the Chicago White Sox recently broke their losing streak with a three-game sweep of the Tampa Bay Rays.

With a struggling pitching staff and offense, the White Sox's recent success defies expectations. Pitcher Erick Fedde, with a 2.60 ERA in six starts, offers some promise.

Hosting the Minnesota Twins before visiting the St. Louis Cardinals, the White Sox aim to extend their newfound momentum.

Now you know this week's MLB analysis. Sign Up Now or click HERE to play at 7x7Bets, the most reliable and trustworthy online casino in India. Don't forget to claim your withdrawable real money welcome deposit bonus, weekly cashback bonus and referral bonus!